Date Gas Price
p/Therm
Projected DAM
€ / MWh
Nov - 2026 ****201.48
Dec - 2026 ****203.39
Jan - 2027 ****204.33
Feb - 2027 ****202.61
Mar - 2027 ****193.98
Apr - 2027 ****169.05

Gas & Electricity Relationship

Irish wholesale electricity prices can be accurately predicted using the UK futures gas curve.

Clients get access to our projection tool which estimates monthly bills 3 years into the future, based on the international forward gas curves. The projection tool is essentially a billing system taking the site's average load and import capacity settings. This allows us to perform a mark-up analysis.

Technical analysis

How we judge when a trend has turned

No single indicator is enough — we use several together to confirm a genuine shift. Technical signals are often ‘late’, so they help us avoid calling a peak or trough too early.

Bollinger Bands

A moving average with an upper and lower band set two standard deviations away. When price pushes outside a band it tends to revert toward the average — and wider bands mean higher volatility.

RSI

A 0–100 momentum gauge. Above 70 suggests overbought conditions, below 30 oversold; crossing back through 50 helps confirm the direction of momentum.

Stochastics

Compares price to its recent 14-day range. Readings above 80 or below 20, with the two lines crossing, can flag a bullish or bearish reversal.

MACD

The relationship between a fast (12-day) and slow (26-day) average. A Golden Cross is bullish; a Death Cross is bearish — though both tend to confirm a move that is already underway.

Fibonacci retracements

After a sharp move, the 38.2%, 50% and 61.8% levels often act as support or resistance. The 61.8% ‘Golden Ratio’ is the most closely watched.

Used together

We combine momentum, volatility and trend indicators with the market fundamentals above to advise clients on hedge timing with as much evidence as possible.

This information is provided for general information purposes only and is not advice, or a recommendation or solicitation to trade in any product. Prices are indicative and change constantly.

Get in touch

Talk to an energy market expert

Send us a recent bill and we'll be in touch. Whether you're a business procuring electricity and natural gas or a homeowner after a better, greener rate — we can help.

By submitting this form your details are sent to our team at commercial@smartpower.ie. We'll never share your information with people outside of energy suppliers (who need to know).